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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.90+1.68vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria0.05+5.50vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.36+3.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+5.13vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.51+4.11vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18+1.07vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria-0.27+1.57vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-2.55-3.14vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.10-1.31vs Predicted
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10Oregon State University-1.50+1.61vs Predicted
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11University of Washington0.08-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of Victoria-0.30-3.35vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University0.54-7.07vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.20-5.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.68University of British Columbia1.9033.8%1st Place
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7.5University of Victoria0.055.1%1st Place
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6.49Western Washington University0.367.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.472.2%1st Place
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9.11Western Washington University-0.513.6%1st Place
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7.07University of Washington0.185.7%1st Place
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8.57University of Victoria-0.273.4%1st Place
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4.86University of Washington-2.5512.0%1st Place
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7.69Western Washington University-0.104.8%1st Place
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11.61Oregon State University-1.500.9%1st Place
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7.18University of Washington0.085.5%1st Place
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8.65University of Victoria-0.303.3%1st Place
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5.93Western Washington University0.548.6%1st Place
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8.53Western Washington University-0.203.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Adams | 33.8% | 22.9% | 17.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 9.7% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 13.0% | 11.6% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Maya Gray | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.0% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 3.3% |
| John Kish | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 14.6% | 44.7% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 6.8% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.