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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Salve Regina University2.54+2.11vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.07+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.74+4.77vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.29-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.71+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-0.77vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.42vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.87-0.66vs Predicted
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10University of Washington2.25-5.37vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.15-3.29vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.81-5.94vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.65-6.52vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.29University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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8.77University of Hawaii0.740.0%1st Place
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4.74Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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6.23University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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9.42California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.34University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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4.63University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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7.71Western Washington University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.48University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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9.42California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Lippincott | 16.2% | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Naish Harlan | 4.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 18.6% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 11.9% | 14.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 17.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 13.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 35.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.