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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.36+5.75vs Predicted
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2University of Victoria-0.27+6.58vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.18+4.11vs Predicted
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4University of British Columbia1.90-1.34vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-0.10+2.90vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-2.55-1.15vs Predicted
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7University of Washington0.08+0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.30+0.76vs Predicted
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9University of Victoria0.05-1.58vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University-0.51-0.54vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.54-5.00vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon-0.82-1.78vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-3.84vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.20-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Western Washington University0.366.2%1st Place
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8.58University of Victoria-0.274.0%1st Place
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7.11University of Washington0.185.9%1st Place
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2.66University of British Columbia1.9034.4%1st Place
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7.9Western Washington University-0.104.5%1st Place
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4.85University of Washington-2.5511.8%1st Place
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7.55University of Washington0.084.5%1st Place
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8.76University of Victoria-0.303.0%1st Place
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7.42University of Victoria0.055.5%1st Place
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9.46Western Washington University-0.512.9%1st Place
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6.0Western Washington University0.547.8%1st Place
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10.22University of Oregon-0.822.4%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.473.5%1st Place
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8.59Western Washington University-0.203.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Sabharwal | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Maya Gray | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% |
| Jaden Unruh | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% |
| Gavin Adams | 34.4% | 22.6% | 16.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% |
| Maxwell Miller | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Virginia Higgins | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.2% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.2% |
| Nathan Gerber | 7.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 14.3% | 24.2% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 13.4% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.