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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.29+3.87vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.74+4.26vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.07+1.37vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.37+4.70vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.26+1.65vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81-2.00vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.65-2.66vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.15-2.20vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-2.30vs Predicted
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13University of Washington2.25-8.00vs Predicted
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14University of California at Berkeley0.87-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.87Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.26University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.13Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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5.37University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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9.7California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.65University of Hawaii1.260.1%1st Place
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6.23University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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7.8Western Washington University1.150.0%1st Place
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9.7California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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5.0University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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8.65University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Jensen | 13.6% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 18.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| Colton Saunders | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 14.6% | 9.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 18.1% | 39.3% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 12.7% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 17.8% | 20.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.