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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.81+5.21vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.07+3.32vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands0.37+6.65vs Predicted
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4University of Washington2.25+0.91vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.54-0.83vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.29-1.22vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-0.82vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine1.71-1.71vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.26-1.55vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.15-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.65-4.35vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley0.87-4.37vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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5.32University of Hawaii2.070.1%1st Place
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9.65California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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4.91University of Washington2.250.1%1st Place
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4.17Salve Regina University2.540.2%1st Place
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4.78Salve Regina University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.18University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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6.29University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Hawaii1.260.0%1st Place
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7.76Western Washington University1.150.1%1st Place
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6.65University of Hawaii1.650.1%1st Place
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8.63University of California at Berkeley0.870.0%1st Place
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9.65California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Hanne Nagatani | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 40.4% | 0.0% |
| Kris Thompson | 11.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 16.9% | 18.4% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Jensen | 14.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Icard | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Colton Saunders | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Burke Oklariski | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 13.4% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Jansson | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Skeffington | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 17.7% | 40.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.