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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.90+1.80vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.54+3.91vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.51+6.27vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.36+2.58vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.05+2.48vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.27+2.60vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-2.55-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.18-0.73vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.10-1.27vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.08-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.30-2.25vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.20-3.33vs Predicted
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13University of Oregon-0.82-2.66vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.8University of British Columbia1.9031.6%1st Place
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5.91Western Washington University0.548.8%1st Place
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9.27Western Washington University-0.512.1%1st Place
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6.58Western Washington University0.367.8%1st Place
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7.48University of Victoria0.055.7%1st Place
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8.6University of Victoria-0.274.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Washington-2.5511.6%1st Place
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7.27University of Washington0.186.0%1st Place
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7.73Western Washington University-0.105.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Washington0.085.3%1st Place
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8.75University of Victoria-0.303.2%1st Place
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8.67Western Washington University-0.203.4%1st Place
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10.34University of Oregon-0.822.5%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.472.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Adams | 31.6% | 23.1% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Maya Gray | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 7.8% |
| Maxwell Miller | 11.6% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Cooper Snell | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.0% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% |
| Sadie Creemer | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 14.8% | 25.7% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 15.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.