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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington0.08+6.37vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University0.36+4.60vs Predicted
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3University of British Columbia1.90-0.28vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.18+3.09vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-2.55-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Victoria-0.27+2.53vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.10+0.54vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.30+0.41vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+0.16vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University0.54-4.16vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.05-3.55vs Predicted
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12Oregon State University-1.50-0.29vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.20-4.37vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.51-4.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37University of Washington0.085.4%1st Place
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6.6Western Washington University0.366.2%1st Place
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2.72University of British Columbia1.9034.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Washington0.186.6%1st Place
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4.74University of Washington-2.5511.8%1st Place
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8.53University of Victoria-0.274.3%1st Place
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7.54Western Washington University-0.103.9%1st Place
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8.41University of Victoria-0.304.5%1st Place
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9.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.472.7%1st Place
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5.84Western Washington University0.548.1%1st Place
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7.45University of Victoria0.055.3%1st Place
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11.71Oregon State University-1.501.4%1st Place
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8.63Western Washington University-0.203.4%1st Place
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9.22Western Washington University-0.512.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Higgins | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Gavin Adams | 34.1% | 22.1% | 17.4% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Maxwell Miller | 11.8% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 14.2% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Maya Gray | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.2% |
| Cooper Snell | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 2.9% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 6.8% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.1% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
| John Kish | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 14.7% | 46.9% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 11.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.