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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+2.85vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.71vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64-0.57vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.83-0.57vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.90-0.22vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81-3.52vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-4.15vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.77-2.75vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.13vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.98-5.13vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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4.11California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.43University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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6.48University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.85University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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9.25Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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9.87University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Southern California0.980.0%1st Place
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11.7University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 19.3% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.5% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 7.1% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 18.4% | 10.6% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 22.1% | 15.6% |
| Andrew Schlegel | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 6.6% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 16.9% | 56.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.