← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.20+1.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.91vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy1.25+1.26vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.55vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-0.38vs Predicted
-
6Princeton University-0.08+0.78vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.48-1.44vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.90vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.86Georgetown University2.2025.6%1st Place
-
2.91University of Pennsylvania2.1626.5%1st Place
-
4.26U. S. Naval Academy1.2512.2%1st Place
-
5.55St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.8%1st Place
-
4.62St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1610.5%1st Place
-
6.78Princeton University-0.082.4%1st Place
-
5.56University of Vermont0.486.8%1st Place
-
6.1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.0%1st Place
-
6.37SUNY Maritime College-0.024.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Diego Escobar | 25.6% | 24.3% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
Jackson McAliley | 26.5% | 22.9% | 17.0% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
Hugh Carty | 12.2% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 14.3% | 10.9% |
Henry Haddon | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 11.6% | 7.9% | 3.4% |
Advik Eswaran | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 18.6% | 31.3% |
Audrey Commerford | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 10.9% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 15.7% | 18.0% | 17.8% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 17.4% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.