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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+2.03vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.49+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon2.51+0.87vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara1.58+1.03vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.94-1.04vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz1.10+0.02vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria0.40+0.38vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.88-5.02vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.69-5.36vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.64-5.05vs Predicted
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14University of Puget Sound0.55-5.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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6.03Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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3.87University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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6.03University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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4.96Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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4.98Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
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8.12University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 25.9% | 23.2% | 16.0% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Nelson | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Philip Gordon | 16.9% | 16.3% | 16.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Shea Artis | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 4.0% |
| Joseph Teno | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Connor Bescos | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 12.2% |
| Meigan Blunt | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 30.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 15.3% | 11.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Eric Du | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 21.0% |
| John Elam | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 19.8% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.