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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University0.36+5.49vs Predicted
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2University of British Columbia1.90+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-2.55+1.84vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.08+3.36vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.18+2.17vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.10+1.64vs Predicted
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7University of Victoria0.05+0.51vs Predicted
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8University of Victoria-0.27+0.55vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+0.09vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-0.30-1.44vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University0.54-5.16vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University-0.51-2.73vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-1.50-1.42vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.20-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Western Washington University0.367.3%1st Place
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2.7University of British Columbia1.9030.9%1st Place
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4.84University of Washington-2.5512.0%1st Place
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7.36University of Washington0.085.9%1st Place
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7.17University of Washington0.186.6%1st Place
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7.64Western Washington University-0.104.0%1st Place
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7.51University of Victoria0.055.0%1st Place
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8.55University of Victoria-0.274.1%1st Place
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9.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.473.4%1st Place
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8.56University of Victoria-0.304.0%1st Place
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5.84Western Washington University0.548.5%1st Place
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9.27Western Washington University-0.512.2%1st Place
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11.58Oregon State University-1.501.5%1st Place
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8.4Western Washington University-0.204.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Sabharwal | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Gavin Adams | 30.9% | 24.9% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.0% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Virginia Higgins | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% |
| Bailey Logan | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Maya Gray | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 6.3% |
| Marty Weigel | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.6% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Anna Morrow | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 10.9% |
| John Kish | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 45.3% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.