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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+3.42vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83+0.54vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.98+1.65vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.44+1.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.90-0.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego1.81-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-6.17vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.77-2.79vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.71-6.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.46-2.35vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego2.89-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.12California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Southern California0.980.0%1st Place
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9.99University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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9.21Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.68University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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11.65University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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3.9University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.7% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 17.0% | 16.0% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 6.9% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Schlegel | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 15.9% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 5.8% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 17.7% | 23.0% | 17.4% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 10.3% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 7.1% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.2% | 11.3% | 13.4% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 16.6% | 10.9% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 16.4% | 56.5% |
| Matthew Morris | 17.9% | 17.7% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.