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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of British Columbia1.90+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-2.55+2.79vs Predicted
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3University of Victoria0.05+4.41vs Predicted
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4University of Victoria-0.27+4.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.47+4.07vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.18+1.14vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.51+2.20vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.10-0.32vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.36-2.49vs Predicted
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10University of Washington0.08-2.63vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria-0.30-2.48vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University0.54-6.06vs Predicted
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13Oregon State University-1.50-1.27vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.20-5.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71University of British Columbia1.9032.6%1st Place
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4.79University of Washington-2.5512.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Victoria0.054.8%1st Place
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8.45University of Victoria-0.274.3%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy-0.472.9%1st Place
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7.14University of Washington0.186.1%1st Place
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9.2Western Washington University-0.513.7%1st Place
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7.68Western Washington University-0.104.5%1st Place
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6.51Western Washington University0.367.0%1st Place
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7.37University of Washington0.084.6%1st Place
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8.52University of Victoria-0.303.8%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University0.548.7%1st Place
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11.73Oregon State University-1.501.0%1st Place
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8.48Western Washington University-0.203.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Adams | 32.6% | 23.9% | 15.6% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Miller | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Logan | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Maya Gray | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 7.1% |
| Marty Weigel | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 8.8% |
| Jaden Unruh | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 1.6% |
| Anna Morrow | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.8% | 11.3% |
| Cooper Snell | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 3.2% |
| Leopold Sabharwal | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Virginia Higgins | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Ethan Lowenthal | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Nathan Gerber | 8.7% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| John Kish | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 47.9% |
| Malcolm Duncan Graves | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 6.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.