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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.68vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.89+0.81vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.81+1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California0.98+2.61vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.71-0.25vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.29vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California2.64-5.63vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles1.83-4.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.90-3.09vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.77-3.89vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.13California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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3.81University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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6.6University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.61University of Southern California0.980.0%1st Place
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6.75University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.37University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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6.54University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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8.91University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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9.11Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.12University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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11.67University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 8.7% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.5% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 18.8% | 17.0% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Schlegel | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 6.4% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.5% | 16.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 14.9% | 15.2% | 15.5% | 8.1% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 8.4% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 25.2% | 19.0% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 17.6% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.