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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+3.71vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+1.41vs Predicted
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4California State University Channel Islands2.77+0.12vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.77+4.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.28vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81-1.55vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.83-3.43vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.90-3.13vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.98-4.46vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-0.46-2.33vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.44-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.12California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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9.12Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.45University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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8.87University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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8.54University of Southern California0.980.0%1st Place
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11.67University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 18.5% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 15.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.5% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.9% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 18.2% | 8.1% |
| Cobi Allen | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 7.9% |
| Andrew Schlegel | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.5% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 56.6% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 25.5% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.