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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.76+5.47vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.12+3.09vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.96+3.04vs Predicted
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4University of Chicago1.01+1.75vs Predicted
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5Indiana University0.82+1.27vs Predicted
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6Washington University0.67+0.50vs Predicted
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7Purdue University0.85-0.61vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University0.45-0.69vs Predicted
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9University of Saint Thomas-0.03-0.25vs Predicted
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10Grand Valley State University-0.85+0.76vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.09-2.15vs Predicted
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12Marquette University0.55-5.05vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin0.97-7.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Michigan State University0.768.7%1st Place
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5.09University of Michigan1.1212.6%1st Place
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6.04Michigan Technological University0.968.6%1st Place
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5.75University of Chicago1.019.8%1st Place
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6.27Indiana University0.828.5%1st Place
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6.5Washington University0.678.5%1st Place
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6.39Purdue University0.858.9%1st Place
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7.31Northwestern University0.456.8%1st Place
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8.75University of Saint Thomas-0.034.2%1st Place
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10.76Grand Valley State University-0.851.7%1st Place
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8.85Ohio State University0.093.4%1st Place
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6.95Marquette University0.558.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Wisconsin0.9710.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dougie Cowan | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 2.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 12.6% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Max Zhalilo | 9.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| John Hultquist | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.6% |
| Thomas Marino | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.1% |
| Lukas Diehm | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 4.9% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 14.5% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 46.6% |
| Emily Williams | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 17.6% | 15.3% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
| Calvin Lutton | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.