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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+2.85vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+2.42vs Predicted
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3California State University Channel Islands2.77+1.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine0.90+1.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-3.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.71-2.28vs Predicted
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10University of Southern California0.98-1.26vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.77-1.71vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego1.81-5.46vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles1.83-6.67vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.92vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.85University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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4.42University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.14California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.72University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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8.74University of Southern California0.980.0%1st Place
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9.29Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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6.54University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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6.33University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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10.08University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 19.4% | 16.5% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.7% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.0% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Kate Andersen | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 14.6% | 6.8% |
| Cobi Allen | 12.2% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Schlegel | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 6.0% |
| Steven Cassingham | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 7.1% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 16.7% | 19.5% | 9.4% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.6% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 23.2% | 18.1% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 17.9% | 55.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.