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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Michigan State University0.76+5.53vs Predicted
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2Michigan Technological University0.96+4.04vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.55+4.07vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University0.45+3.28vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.97+0.77vs Predicted
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6Purdue University0.85+0.35vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan1.12-1.89vs Predicted
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8Washington University0.67-1.36vs Predicted
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9Indiana University0.82-2.80vs Predicted
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10University of Chicago1.01-4.32vs Predicted
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11University of Saint Thomas-0.03-2.20vs Predicted
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12Ohio State University0.09-3.14vs Predicted
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13Grand Valley State University-0.85-2.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.53Michigan State University0.767.5%1st Place
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6.04Michigan Technological University0.9610.1%1st Place
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7.07Marquette University0.556.4%1st Place
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7.28Northwestern University0.456.2%1st Place
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5.77University of Wisconsin0.9711.3%1st Place
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6.35Purdue University0.858.3%1st Place
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5.11University of Michigan1.1213.4%1st Place
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6.64Washington University0.677.9%1st Place
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6.2Indiana University0.8210.1%1st Place
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5.68University of Chicago1.0110.3%1st Place
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8.8University of Saint Thomas-0.033.8%1st Place
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8.86Ohio State University0.092.8%1st Place
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10.67Grand Valley State University-0.851.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dougie Cowan | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Calvin Lutton | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Lukas Diehm | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Joe Serpa | 13.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Marino | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% |
| John Hultquist | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Max Zhalilo | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 15.2% |
| Emily Williams | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 12.8% | 16.6% | 15.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 15.3% | 45.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.