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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.69vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.64+0.41vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego2.89-1.19vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.71+0.65vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California0.98+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.29vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles1.83-3.53vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego1.81-4.39vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine0.90-3.08vs Predicted
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13Arizona State University0.77-3.91vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.86vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-0.46-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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5.69University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.41University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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3.81University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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6.65University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Southern California0.980.0%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.47University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Irvine0.900.0%1st Place
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9.09Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.14University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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11.68University of California at San Diego-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 16.4% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 14.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Stokes | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 13.4% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Morris | 19.2% | 16.5% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Schlegel | 2.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 4.9% |
| Cobi Allen | 14.6% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Kate Andersen | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 15.8% | 8.2% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 16.5% | 8.3% |
| Gabriel Monti | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 23.8% | 20.1% |
| Jiachao Yang | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 56.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.