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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Purdue University0.85+5.18vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University0.45+5.12vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.55+3.82vs Predicted
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4Michigan Technological University0.96+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.01+0.45vs Predicted
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6Indiana University0.82+0.22vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.97-1.29vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan1.12-3.09vs Predicted
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9Washington University0.67-2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Saint Thomas-0.03-1.64vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.09-2.43vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University0.76-5.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Purdue University0.858.2%1st Place
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7.12Northwestern University0.456.1%1st Place
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6.82Marquette University0.556.4%1st Place
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5.9Michigan Technological University0.968.8%1st Place
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5.45University of Chicago1.0112.1%1st Place
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6.22Indiana University0.829.2%1st Place
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5.71University of Wisconsin0.9710.5%1st Place
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4.91University of Michigan1.1213.5%1st Place
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6.41Washington University0.678.6%1st Place
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8.36University of Saint Thomas-0.034.4%1st Place
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8.57Ohio State University0.093.7%1st Place
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6.34Michigan State University0.768.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lukas Diehm | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 8.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.7% |
| Max Zhalilo | 12.1% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| John Hultquist | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% |
| Calvin Lutton | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Joe Serpa | 13.5% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Thomas Marino | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 15.4% | 24.3% |
| Emily Williams | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 25.2% |
| Dougie Cowan | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.