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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University0.45+5.93vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.12+2.91vs Predicted
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3Purdue University0.85+3.22vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67+2.30vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.55+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Saint Thomas-0.03+2.48vs Predicted
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7Indiana University0.82-0.95vs Predicted
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8University of Chicago1.01-2.32vs Predicted
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9Ohio State University0.09-0.45vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.97-4.30vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.96-5.13vs Predicted
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12Michigan State University0.76-5.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.93Northwestern University0.457.4%1st Place
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4.91University of Michigan1.1214.3%1st Place
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6.22Purdue University0.858.6%1st Place
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6.3Washington University0.677.4%1st Place
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7.0Marquette University0.556.6%1st Place
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8.48University of Saint Thomas-0.033.6%1st Place
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6.05Indiana University0.829.3%1st Place
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5.68University of Chicago1.019.3%1st Place
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8.55Ohio State University0.094.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Wisconsin0.979.9%1st Place
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5.87Michigan Technological University0.9610.4%1st Place
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6.3Michigan State University0.769.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Chambers | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 14.3% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Lukas Diehm | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Thomas Marino | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 24.3% |
| John Hultquist | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Max Zhalilo | 9.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Emily Williams | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 25.0% |
| Calvin Lutton | 9.9% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Andrew Michels | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Dougie Cowan | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.