← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University0.45+6.05vs Predicted
-
2Michigan State University0.76+4.29vs Predicted
-
3Indiana University0.82+3.05vs Predicted
-
4University of Michigan1.12+0.79vs Predicted
-
5Marquette University0.55+1.77vs Predicted
-
6University of Chicago1.01-0.46vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University0.96-1.08vs Predicted
-
8University of Wisconsin0.97-2.32vs Predicted
-
9Washington University0.67-2.52vs Predicted
-
10Ohio State University0.09-1.32vs Predicted
-
11Purdue University0.85-4.85vs Predicted
-
12University of Saint Thomas-0.03-3.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.05Northwestern University0.456.0%1st Place
-
6.29Michigan State University0.768.8%1st Place
-
6.05Indiana University0.829.0%1st Place
-
4.79University of Michigan1.1215.3%1st Place
-
6.77Marquette University0.557.5%1st Place
-
5.54University of Chicago1.0110.2%1st Place
-
5.92Michigan Technological University0.9610.0%1st Place
-
5.68University of Wisconsin0.9710.3%1st Place
-
6.48Washington University0.677.1%1st Place
-
8.68Ohio State University0.093.5%1st Place
-
6.15Purdue University0.858.2%1st Place
-
8.6University of Saint Thomas-0.033.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% |
| Dougie Cowan | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% |
| John Hultquist | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 15.3% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Max Zhalilo | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Calvin Lutton | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.1% |
| Thomas Marino | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% |
| Emily Williams | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 14.8% | 27.4% |
| Lukas Diehm | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 15.5% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.