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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Michigan1.12+3.98vs Predicted
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2Purdue University0.85+4.07vs Predicted
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3Michigan Technological University0.96+2.89vs Predicted
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4Washington University0.67+2.42vs Predicted
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5University of Chicago1.01+0.77vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University0.45+1.13vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.55-0.19vs Predicted
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8Michigan State University0.76-1.77vs Predicted
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9Indiana University0.82-2.90vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin0.97-4.37vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University0.09-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of Saint Thomas-0.03-3.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.98University of Michigan1.1212.8%1st Place
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6.07Purdue University0.859.6%1st Place
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5.89Michigan Technological University0.969.0%1st Place
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6.42Washington University0.678.7%1st Place
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5.77University of Chicago1.0110.0%1st Place
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7.13Northwestern University0.456.5%1st Place
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6.81Marquette University0.557.4%1st Place
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6.23Michigan State University0.769.2%1st Place
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6.1Indiana University0.828.2%1st Place
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5.63University of Wisconsin0.9710.9%1st Place
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8.49Ohio State University0.094.3%1st Place
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8.48University of Saint Thomas-0.033.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Serpa | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Lukas Diehm | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Michels | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% |
| Thomas Marino | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% |
| Max Zhalilo | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Eric Hoyerman | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% |
| Dougie Cowan | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| John Hultquist | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Calvin Lutton | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Emily Williams | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 15.3% | 26.1% |
| Rakesh Dhiman | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 24.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.