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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego1.60+3.26vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California0.85+3.14vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.83+1.30vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.37+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.05-3.76vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.11vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine-1.02+0.76vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.35-6.10vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University1.51-7.51vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-3.94vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.49-6.72vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California-0.91-4.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.26University of California at San Diego1.600.2%1st Place
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6.14University of Southern California0.850.1%1st Place
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6.3University of California at Los Angeles0.830.1%1st Place
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7.47California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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3.24University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.3%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.1%1st Place
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9.11University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.76University of California at Irvine-1.020.0%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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4.49Arizona State University1.510.1%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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7.28University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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10.68University of Southern California-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Olson | 15.8% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Hollis Barth | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Nora Brackbill | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 2.6% |
| Ginger Luckey | 25.3% | 21.7% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Keefe | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.7% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 12.3% |
| Ellen Suder | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 14.3% | 20.6% | 35.1% |
| Nicholas Weis | 12.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Spenser Branch | 13.6% | 15.3% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Louise Lehman | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 10.9% |
| Joseph McArdle | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.2% |
| Nicole Bosetti | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.