Race 2B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Charlotte Kane 12.8% 13.6% 11.8% 11.3% 11.1% 12.0% 8.6% 7.5% 5.5% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Justin Skene 13.9% 13.7% 13.5% 12.8% 12.2% 10.2% 8.8% 6.2% 4.5% 2.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Noah Hallerman 9.3% 6.8% 8.8% 8.9% 8.8% 10.2% 9.3% 10.8% 9.7% 9.5% 5.4% 2.6%
Dominique DeLano 6.2% 5.9% 6.7% 7.3% 8.6% 7.3% 11.3% 9.9% 12.0% 11.3% 8.8% 4.5%
Brittany Shabino 6.9% 9.2% 7.4% 9.2% 8.5% 10.0% 9.4% 11.0% 9.4% 10.1% 6.2% 2.9%
Nithya Balachander 17.0% 15.2% 15.0% 13.0% 10.2% 9.8% 8.0% 5.4% 3.7% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Matthew Beretta 5.2% 6.3% 6.7% 6.0% 6.8% 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 12.2% 12.5% 11.0% 5.9%
Brody Schwartz 9.2% 10.4% 10.4% 10.2% 10.4% 8.9% 9.5% 10.2% 8.4% 6.5% 4.4% 1.5%
Nick Myneni 12.0% 10.2% 10.6% 10.5% 10.9% 10.1% 9.6% 8.9% 7.3% 5.7% 3.1% 1.1%
Meredith Moore 2.6% 3.0% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 4.9% 5.0% 7.2% 9.3% 12.2% 22.1% 24.6%
Noah Troyer 3.2% 4.0% 4.2% 5.7% 6.0% 5.6% 7.5% 8.1% 11.2% 14.0% 17.9% 12.6%
Conall Lynch 1.6% 1.7% 2.2% 2.2% 3.1% 3.0% 3.5% 5.1% 6.8% 10.4% 17.1% 43.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.