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📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+2.05vs Predicted
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2University of Oregon2.51+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.64+5.15vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.49+2.23vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University1.94-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.69-3.35vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.55-1.94vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.88-6.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.58-6.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-6.08vs Predicted
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16University of Victoria0.40-7.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
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3.66University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
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6.23Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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4.98Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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8.06University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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5.0Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 25.6% | 20.5% | 17.4% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Philip Gordon | 18.5% | 19.4% | 16.1% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Eric Du | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.2% | 17.5% | 24.9% |
| Andrew Nelson | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Joseph Teno | 10.6% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 3.0% |
| John Elam | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 14.0% | 18.5% | 23.1% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Shea Artis | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Connor Bescos | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 9.4% |
| Meigan Blunt | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 19.6% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.