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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.16+1.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy1.25+2.10vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.20-0.14vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+1.77vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-0.46vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-0.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.97vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.60vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.08-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.95University of Pennsylvania2.1625.7%1st Place
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4.1U. S. Naval Academy1.2512.2%1st Place
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2.86Georgetown University2.2027.3%1st Place
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5.77University of Vermont0.485.6%1st Place
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4.54St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1610.2%1st Place
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5.52St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.8%1st Place
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6.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.2%1st Place
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6.4SUNY Maritime College-0.023.8%1st Place
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6.83Princeton University-0.083.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Jackson McAliley | 25.7% | 22.9% | 18.1% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Hugh Carty | 12.2% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
Diego Escobar | 27.3% | 23.3% | 17.3% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
Audrey Commerford | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 12.5% |
Henry Haddon | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% |
Annika VanderHorst | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 17.1% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 21.2% |
Advik Eswaran | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 32.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.