Race 3B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christian Ehrnrooth 19.7% 17.4% 14.3% 12.0% 10.3% 9.1% 7.3% 4.5% 3.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Brittany Shabino 7.3% 7.3% 8.3% 8.8% 9.3% 9.8% 9.8% 11.5% 9.8% 9.8% 5.9% 2.5%
Dominique DeLano 5.9% 6.9% 6.2% 6.3% 8.6% 8.2% 8.6% 10.3% 12.6% 13.4% 9.1% 4.0%
Brody Schwartz 9.6% 8.6% 9.1% 10.2% 12.0% 10.0% 10.2% 11.2% 8.9% 5.7% 3.4% 1.2%
Justin Skene 13.8% 14.3% 12.0% 12.2% 11.5% 10.3% 9.7% 6.5% 5.1% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%
Nithya Balachander 14.3% 14.3% 15.2% 13.2% 10.9% 11.3% 8.5% 6.2% 3.2% 1.7% 1.0% 0.1%
Matthew Beretta 5.7% 4.7% 6.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.6% 10.9% 11.7% 13.1% 12.4% 9.0% 4.7%
Nick Myneni 10.9% 11.4% 12.1% 12.6% 10.2% 10.8% 9.0% 7.8% 7.0% 5.0% 2.8% 0.3%
Noah Troyer 3.0% 3.7% 4.4% 5.0% 4.5% 6.6% 7.5% 8.7% 11.9% 15.7% 17.9% 10.9%
Noah Hallerman 7.1% 7.5% 8.1% 8.2% 10.1% 10.1% 10.4% 11.2% 10.8% 9.0% 5.6% 1.8%
Conall Lynch 1.1% 1.8% 1.8% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 4.2% 5.8% 7.3% 11.8% 22.2% 35.9%
Matthew Sullivan 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 2.4% 2.6% 3.2% 3.6% 4.5% 7.0% 11.0% 21.5% 38.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.