Race 4B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Christian Ehrnrooth 19.3% 17.2% 15.0% 11.9% 11.2% 8.6% 6.8% 4.7% 3.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Brody Schwartz 9.0% 9.4% 8.9% 10.9% 10.8% 11.2% 11.2% 10.4% 7.5% 6.8% 2.5% 1.4%
Justin Skene 14.6% 13.8% 13.4% 11.7% 11.8% 10.3% 9.1% 7.4% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Brittany Shabino 6.7% 7.4% 8.4% 7.6% 9.7% 9.7% 10.7% 12.5% 10.1% 10.0% 5.4% 1.9%
Matthew Beretta 5.1% 5.1% 5.3% 7.5% 6.7% 8.2% 10.3% 9.1% 13.7% 13.1% 11.2% 4.7%
Noah Hallerman 6.7% 7.0% 9.0% 9.6% 9.2% 11.1% 10.7% 11.1% 10.0% 9.3% 4.3% 2.1%
Dominique DeLano 6.3% 6.7% 6.5% 7.3% 7.5% 10.0% 9.4% 10.3% 11.7% 11.2% 9.3% 3.6%
Nithya Balachander 14.9% 16.1% 13.7% 13.9% 11.8% 9.2% 7.8% 5.7% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.1%
Nick Myneni 10.9% 10.3% 12.7% 11.2% 11.1% 9.7% 10.1% 9.0% 7.3% 4.8% 2.2% 0.7%
Conall Lynch 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.5% 7.6% 11.0% 22.9% 37.0%
Matthew Sullivan 1.2% 1.7% 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 5.3% 7.1% 11.8% 22.2% 36.9%
Noah Troyer 3.4% 3.6% 3.6% 4.0% 5.0% 5.9% 7.2% 9.0% 13.1% 16.0% 17.8% 11.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.