Race 1A

seisa-qualifier-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Allison Moorhead 0.8% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 1.3% 2.4% 3.1% 9.2% 80.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 11.7% 13.4% 15.1% 15.4% 17.3% 13.1% 9.0% 4.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellen Nielsen 22.0% 20.0% 18.6% 14.5% 12.6% 7.9% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis James 8.9% 12.9% 13.1% 12.6% 15.5% 14.9% 13.3% 7.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Boerner 3.6% 3.5% 5.5% 7.5% 8.3% 13.3% 16.9% 32.7% 8.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Posey 6.4% 7.0% 9.1% 10.6% 11.7% 18.8% 19.9% 13.8% 2.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Swanson 14.1% 15.8% 14.9% 17.1% 15.1% 10.8% 9.2% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Payne 28.6% 21.5% 17.1% 14.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis James 8.9% 12.9% 13.1% 12.6% 15.5% 14.9% 13.3% 7.7% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 11.7% 13.4% 15.1% 15.4% 17.3% 13.1% 9.0% 4.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schwend 3.9% 5.1% 5.8% 6.8% 8.5% 12.9% 22.4% 27.6% 7.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.