Race 2A

seisa-qualifier-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Travis Conger 12.8% 14.9% 15.4% 16.8% 16.3% 11.9% 8.7% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Posey 4.8% 5.1% 8.5% 11.8% 14.1% 17.5% 18.7% 15.8% 3.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis James 8.9% 9.7% 13.1% 13.8% 14.8% 17.2% 15.0% 6.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Swanson 14.4% 16.3% 17.1% 17.6% 13.8% 10.8% 7.6% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Payne 30.5% 22.3% 17.9% 10.8% 9.7% 6.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Moorhead 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 1.4% 1.4% 2.3% 4.8% 9.2% 79.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellen Nielsen 21.3% 21.9% 17.9% 14.5% 12.1% 7.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis James 8.9% 9.7% 13.1% 13.8% 14.8% 17.2% 15.0% 6.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Boerner 3.2% 4.2% 4.6% 6.0% 6.8% 13.2% 19.3% 32.8% 9.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 12.8% 14.9% 15.4% 16.8% 16.3% 11.9% 8.7% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schwend 3.6% 5.2% 5.0% 7.3% 11.0% 13.8% 19.8% 28.7% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.