Race 3A

seisa-qualifier-1

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Travis James 9.5% 10.1% 13.4% 13.4% 16.2% 15.2% 13.7% 7.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 10.4% 14.8% 14.8% 17.5% 15.3% 14.6% 7.9% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Payne 26.5% 22.5% 19.5% 15.4% 8.7% 5.2% 1.2% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Moorhead 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 1.1% 2.4% 2.0% 4.6% 10.7% 77.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ellen Nielsen 23.4% 22.9% 17.2% 12.5% 10.9% 8.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schwend 3.1% 5.2% 6.8% 7.0% 9.5% 13.3% 22.9% 23.9% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Tyler Boerner 3.6% 3.5% 3.9% 5.5% 7.6% 13.0% 18.2% 34.7% 10.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis James 9.5% 10.1% 13.4% 13.4% 16.2% 15.2% 13.7% 7.5% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 10.4% 14.8% 14.8% 17.5% 15.3% 14.6% 7.9% 4.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Posey 7.3% 5.8% 7.7% 12.2% 14.0% 15.1% 21.1% 14.6% 2.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Swanson 15.7% 14.7% 16.0% 15.4% 15.4% 13.6% 6.8% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.