Race 6B

mcsa-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Justin Skene 15.0% 15.0% 13.4% 12.6% 11.6% 9.6% 8.5% 6.2% 4.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Christian Ehrnrooth 21.5% 17.9% 15.8% 12.5% 9.8% 8.1% 6.0% 4.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Nick Myneni 11.3% 12.4% 11.2% 12.3% 11.2% 10.7% 9.5% 7.3% 6.2% 4.2% 2.6% 0.8%
Brittany Shabino 7.5% 8.6% 9.8% 9.3% 9.0% 9.7% 11.2% 9.6% 10.7% 8.1% 4.6% 1.9%
Noah Hallerman 8.1% 9.6% 8.9% 9.2% 10.2% 10.4% 9.8% 10.1% 8.9% 6.8% 5.8% 2.3%
Peter Grumbling 4.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 7.2% 8.3% 8.0% 9.9% 10.8% 12.8% 12.3% 7.6%
Matthew Beretta 6.5% 5.6% 7.4% 8.0% 7.8% 8.4% 9.0% 11.5% 10.7% 10.5% 9.8% 4.9%
Meredith Moore 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 6.6% 7.1% 10.3% 13.5% 16.8% 24.5%
Conall Lynch 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 2.1% 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 5.1% 6.5% 10.3% 18.2% 40.4%
Noah Troyer 4.3% 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 9.6% 9.8% 13.9% 17.0% 12.6%
Brody Schwartz 10.8% 9.8% 10.8% 9.7% 11.9% 9.9% 9.7% 8.8% 7.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.7%
Dominique DeLano 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 8.9% 8.4% 9.8% 9.0% 10.5% 11.2% 10.8% 8.0% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.