Race 1A

day-2pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 62.9% 23.9% 9.6% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 5.9% 13.2% 15.2% 15.0% 14.8% 12.8% 10.3% 8.9% 3.8%
Kira Blumhagen 2.5% 6.1% 7.0% 9.5% 9.8% 13.6% 16.3% 17.3% 18.1%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.2% 8.3% 9.2% 12.8% 13.1% 14.8% 14.3% 13.4% 9.7%
Morgan Carew 6.7% 13.2% 16.4% 17.2% 14.9% 12.2% 10.5% 5.9% 2.9%
Marianna Shand 9.8% 18.6% 17.8% 17.0% 14.9% 11.0% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0%
Erin Pamplin 3.9% 7.8% 11.4% 11.9% 12.9% 16.2% 14.0% 13.8% 8.2%
Florence Duff 2.3% 4.6% 7.8% 7.3% 10.8% 9.9% 14.4% 20.8% 22.2%
Morgan Burton 1.8% 4.1% 5.7% 6.3% 8.5% 9.3% 13.5% 16.7% 34.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.