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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Katherine Biancardi 8.2% 7.3% 10.9% 9.9% 12.4% 14.5% 13.4% 13.1% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Lenz 18.0% 21.6% 19.1% 14.2% 12.0% 7.4% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Crossland 4.9% 7.4% 7.4% 8.8% 10.4% 11.5% 16.1% 16.9% 16.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Fox 9.7% 12.1% 12.4% 14.0% 14.3% 13.2% 8.5% 10.0% 5.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 28.4% 20.8% 15.0% 13.3% 9.5% 6.6% 3.6% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 28.4% 20.8% 15.0% 13.3% 9.5% 6.6% 3.6% 2.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Korchnak 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 6.2% 10.1% 10.7% 16.2% 18.1% 22.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Susan Herndon 13.7% 15.0% 17.6% 15.3% 12.3% 10.7% 8.5% 4.9% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Douglas Modling 7.2% 5.3% 6.8% 10.0% 10.6% 13.1% 14.7% 15.0% 17.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Biancardi 8.2% 7.3% 10.9% 9.9% 12.4% 14.5% 13.4% 13.1% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Kollath 5.4% 5.1% 4.6% 8.3% 8.4% 12.3% 14.5% 17.1% 24.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.