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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.86vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.74+2.45vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University-0.19+2.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.09-1.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University0.23-0.98vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.88-3.23vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.58Stanford University3.3061.4%1st Place
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3.86University of California at Los Angeles1.3010.2%1st Place
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5.45University of Washington0.744.8%1st Place
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6.91San Diego State University-0.191.8%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Berkeley0.734.8%1st Place
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4.57University of Hawaii1.096.7%1st Place
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6.02Western Washington University0.232.9%1st Place
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4.77University of Rhode Island0.885.5%1st Place
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6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanessa Lahrkamp | 61.4% | 24.6% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Marianna Shand | 10.2% | 18.4% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Erin Pamplin | 4.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
Morgan Burton | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 34.2% |
Kingsley Ehrich | 4.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 16.4% | 13.1% | 8.4% |
Morgan Carew | 6.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 3.0% |
Kira Blumhagen | 2.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 16.9% |
Molly Coghlin | 5.5% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 4.3% |
Florence Duff | 2.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 18.6% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.