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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University-1.05+4.35vs Predicted
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2University of Texas0.04+1.36vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University0.12+0.11vs Predicted
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5University of South Alabama-1.31+0.81vs Predicted
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6Tulane University-0.39-2.03vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University0.12-3.89vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-1.05-2.65vs Predicted
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9University of Central Oklahoma-0.76-4.30vs Predicted
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10University of North Texas-1.32-4.06vs Predicted
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12Tulane University-1.55-5.65vs Predicted
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13University of Oklahoma-1.58-6.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.35Texas A&M University-1.050.1%1st Place
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3.36University of Texas0.040.2%1st Place
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3.11Texas A&M University0.120.3%1st Place
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5.81University of South Alabama-1.310.1%1st Place
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3.97Tulane University-0.390.2%1st Place
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3.11Texas A&M University0.120.3%1st Place
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5.35Texas A&M University-1.050.1%1st Place
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4.7University of Central Oklahoma-0.760.1%1st Place
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5.94University of North Texas-1.320.1%1st Place
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6.35Tulane University-1.550.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Oklahoma-1.580.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Biancardi | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Lenz | 18.3% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Woodring | 25.4% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Douglas Modling | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Susan Herndon | 15.6% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Megan Woodring | 25.4% | 19.9% | 17.1% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Biancardi | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Fox | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 14.2% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Crossland | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 16.3% | 17.4% | 14.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Kollath | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 25.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Evan Korchnak | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 20.5% | 24.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.