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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.60vs Predicted
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2University of California at Los Angeles1.30+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.44vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.23+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii0.99-0.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.88-1.26vs Predicted
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7San Diego State University-0.19-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.74-2.58vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.6Stanford University3.3060.8%1st Place
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3.87University of California at Los Angeles1.309.4%1st Place
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5.44University of California at Berkeley0.734.1%1st Place
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6.0Western Washington University0.234.2%1st Place
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4.59University of Hawaii0.997.4%1st Place
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4.74University of Rhode Island0.885.1%1st Place
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6.95San Diego State University-0.191.9%1st Place
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5.42University of Washington0.743.8%1st Place
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6.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.263.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Vanessa Lahrkamp | 60.8% | 24.4% | 10.3% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Marianna Shand | 9.4% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 14.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
Kingsley Ehrich | 4.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 9.3% |
Kira Blumhagen | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 16.6% | 16.6% |
Mercy Tangredi | 7.4% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
Molly Coghlin | 5.1% | 12.5% | 16.9% | 13.5% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
Morgan Burton | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 34.7% |
Erin Pamplin | 3.8% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% |
Florence Duff | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 21.1% | 21.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.