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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.64+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.88vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.49+0.98vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands2.77-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.81+0.68vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.35+1.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles1.83-1.39vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California0.78+0.49vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego2.89-5.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-3.98vs Predicted
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12Arizona State University0.77-2.55vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego0.49-2.64vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles0.83-4.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.58University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.88University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.98University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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4.24California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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6.68University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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9.49University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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4.01University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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9.45Arizona State University0.770.0%1st Place
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10.36University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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9.67University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 15.0% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Cobi Allen | 12.6% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.0% | 15.5% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 5.8% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 17.1% | 18.1% |
| Matthew Morris | 17.4% | 18.3% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| Steven Cassingham | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 16.6% |
| Joseph McArdle | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 13.6% | 17.0% | 32.4% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 20.9% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.