Race 4A

day-2pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Mercy Tangredi 6.3% 11.9% 15.8% 15.3% 16.2% 13.0% 10.8% 6.9% 3.8%
Vanessa Lahrkamp 61.1% 25.4% 9.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 5.1% 7.2% 11.2% 11.0% 12.8% 14.9% 15.7% 12.8% 9.4%
Molly Coghlin 5.9% 13.2% 14.3% 15.2% 15.8% 12.5% 11.9% 7.6% 3.6%
Kira Blumhagen 3.1% 6.5% 8.2% 9.7% 11.1% 13.7% 14.4% 16.9% 16.6%
Erin Pamplin 4.0% 8.0% 10.4% 13.0% 12.2% 15.4% 13.8% 13.1% 10.0%
Morgan Burton 1.8% 3.8% 5.5% 6.7% 7.3% 9.8% 12.3% 19.9% 32.9%
Marianna Shand 10.1% 18.2% 19.1% 18.0% 15.3% 9.3% 6.2% 3.1% 0.7%
Florence Duff 2.6% 5.9% 6.0% 8.1% 8.5% 11.2% 14.8% 19.8% 23.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.