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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+0.56vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University-0.19+4.94vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island0.88+1.75vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.74+0.42vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.30-2.20vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.26-0.62vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii0.99-3.40vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.23-2.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.56Stanford University3.3062.9%1st Place
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6.94San Diego State University-0.191.8%1st Place
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4.75University of Rhode Island0.885.9%1st Place
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5.48University of California at Berkeley0.733.6%1st Place
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5.42University of Washington0.744.2%1st Place
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3.8University of California at Los Angeles1.309.8%1st Place
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6.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.262.5%1st Place
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4.6University of Hawaii0.996.2%1st Place
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6.07Western Washington University0.232.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Vanessa Lahrkamp | 62.9% | 23.5% | 9.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Morgan Burton | 1.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 34.1% |
Molly Coghlin | 5.9% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 3.4% |
Kingsley Ehrich | 3.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 10.0% |
Erin Pamplin | 4.2% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 8.6% |
Marianna Shand | 9.8% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
Florence Duff | 2.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 18.7% | 23.4% |
Mercy Tangredi | 6.2% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 3.0% |
Kira Blumhagen | 2.9% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 16.9% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.