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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego2.89+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.64+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+2.84vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.61vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands2.77-1.86vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego1.81-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-4.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.83-0.74vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University0.04-0.09vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-5.04vs Predicted
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13University of California at Irvine1.35-5.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego0.49-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.78-5.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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5.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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4.14California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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6.62University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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9.26University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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10.91Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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6.96University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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7.72University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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10.18University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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9.54University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Morris | 18.9% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.4% | 13.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 6.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.7% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 12.7% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 11.8% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 20.0% | 41.2% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 4.0% |
| Joseph McArdle | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 24.2% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 19.5% | 13.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.