Race 6A

day-2pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 62.5% 24.9% 8.3% 3.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 4.0% 8.9% 11.5% 12.4% 13.6% 13.2% 15.2% 11.9% 9.2%
Mercy Tangredi 6.7% 12.5% 14.4% 16.2% 16.0% 12.5% 10.2% 7.3% 4.1%
Morgan Burton 1.8% 3.9% 4.7% 6.9% 6.7% 9.3% 12.4% 19.2% 35.1%
Molly Coghlin 6.3% 11.8% 14.6% 13.1% 16.7% 13.6% 10.9% 8.7% 4.2%
Kingsley Ehrich 3.5% 8.5% 9.6% 11.4% 13.5% 16.0% 14.1% 13.9% 9.5%
Kira Blumhagen 2.8% 5.2% 8.6% 10.5% 11.5% 13.4% 15.8% 17.5% 14.6%
Marianna Shand 9.2% 19.2% 21.6% 18.0% 11.7% 10.1% 6.0% 3.5% 0.8%
Florence Duff 3.2% 5.0% 6.8% 8.0% 9.7% 11.8% 15.2% 17.8% 22.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.