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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+3.57vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.96vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.05vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.20-1.21vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.69vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.25-1.86vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.48-2.37vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-0.08-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.57St. Mary's College of Maryland1.169.7%1st Place
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2.96University of Pennsylvania2.1624.2%1st Place
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6.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.7%1st Place
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2.79Georgetown University2.2029.1%1st Place
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5.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.5%1st Place
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4.14U. S. Naval Academy1.2513.2%1st Place
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6.41SUNY Maritime College-0.023.9%1st Place
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5.63University of Vermont0.486.4%1st Place
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6.77Princeton University-0.083.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Henry Haddon | 9.7% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
Jackson McAliley | 24.2% | 23.1% | 19.2% | 14.1% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 17.5% |
Diego Escobar | 29.1% | 23.0% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 10.5% |
Hugh Carty | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 1.2% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 22.8% |
Audrey Commerford | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 12.1% |
Advik Eswaran | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 14.4% | 17.4% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.