← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.94+4.07vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles0.64+6.06vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University1.49+3.21vs Predicted
-
4Western Washington University1.88+1.22vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Cruz1.10+1.99vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara1.58-0.12vs Predicted
-
8University of Victoria0.40+0.30vs Predicted
-
9University of Washington2.87-6.05vs Predicted
-
10University of Washington1.69-4.38vs Predicted
-
11University of Oregon2.51-7.40vs Predicted
-
15University of Puget Sound0.55-6.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.07Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
-
8.06University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
-
6.21Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
-
5.22Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
-
6.99University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
-
5.88University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
-
8.3University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
-
2.95University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
-
5.62University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
-
3.6University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
-
8.09University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Teno | 7.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Eric Du | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 22.4% |
| Andrew Nelson | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 5.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Connor Bescos | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.4% |
| Shea Artis | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.7% |
| Meigan Blunt | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 27.8% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 28.5% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 9.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Philip Gordon | 20.9% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 13.6% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Elam | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 20.4% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.