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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands2.77+3.21vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California2.64+1.50vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-0.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.83+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-1.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81-1.33vs Predicted
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9Arizona State University0.04+1.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.35-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of California at San Diego0.49-0.91vs Predicted
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12University of California at Irvine1.71-5.08vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.83-3.83vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.78-4.50vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego2.89-11.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
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4.5University of Southern California2.640.2%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.63University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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5.74University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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6.67University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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10.85Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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7.9University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
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10.09University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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9.17University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
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3.93University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gregory Dair | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 15.1% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Cobi Allen | 11.9% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Ian Stokes | 9.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 40.5% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Joseph McArdle | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 15.6% | 19.8% | 23.9% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 12.1% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 13.9% |
| Matthew Morris | 17.3% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.