← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California2.64+3.48vs Predicted
-
3University of California at San Diego2.89+0.92vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Los Angeles1.83+1.71vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.15vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego1.81-0.36vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Santa Barbara2.14-2.29vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego0.49+0.93vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Irvine1.35-2.14vs Predicted
-
11Arizona State University0.04-0.04vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Irvine1.71-5.08vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Los Angeles0.83-3.83vs Predicted
-
14California State University Channel Islands2.77-9.73vs Predicted
-
15University of Southern California0.78-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.48University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
-
3.92University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
-
6.71University of California at Los Angeles1.830.0%1st Place
-
4.85University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
-
6.64University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
-
5.71University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
-
9.93University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
-
7.86University of California at Irvine1.350.0%1st Place
-
10.96Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
-
6.92University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
-
9.17University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
-
4.27California State University Channel Islands2.770.2%1st Place
-
9.57University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 17.4% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Cobi Allen | 12.4% | 12.5% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Ian Stokes | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Joseph McArdle | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 22.1% | 22.0% |
| Nicholas Weis | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 3.2% |
| Kyle McManus | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 18.4% | 43.3% |
| Samuel Heller | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.1% |
| Nora Brackbill | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 10.7% |
| Gregory Dair | 16.0% | 15.2% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.