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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+5.91vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University2.10+3.18vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan-0.64+9.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.73-0.23vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.69+1.58vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.40-1.60vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.420.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.84-1.80vs Predicted
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9Boston College1.97-3.02vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.07-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.24-0.12vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.80-2.94vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.38-0.55vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.45-4.07vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.14-4.07vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.55-0.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91Tufts University1.517.6%1st Place
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5.18Jacksonville University2.1010.7%1st Place
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12.97University of Michigan-0.641.2%1st Place
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3.77Brown University2.7320.1%1st Place
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6.58Brown University1.696.4%1st Place
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4.4Roger Williams University2.4015.7%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island1.426.2%1st Place
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6.2Bowdoin College1.848.6%1st Place
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5.98Boston College1.978.8%1st Place
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8.32Boston University1.074.2%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont0.241.8%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University0.803.4%1st Place
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12.45University of New Hampshire-0.380.9%1st Place
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9.93Northeastern University0.452.7%1st Place
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10.93Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.141.8%1st Place
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15.43University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Morris | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.7% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 19.3% | 32.4% | 9.8% |
| Guthrie Braun | 20.1% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 15.7% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Porter Bell | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 1.3% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Lund | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 20.8% | 26.4% | 5.9% |
| Zachary Klusky | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Alexander Horne | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 2.1% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 8.6% | 79.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.