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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.14+4.83vs Predicted
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2California State University Channel Islands2.77+2.24vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.89-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.64-0.49vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara2.49-1.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego1.81-1.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.35-1.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.49+0.02vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine1.71-4.00vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles1.83-5.43vs Predicted
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13University of California at Los Angeles0.83-3.88vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University0.04-2.94vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.78-5.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.83University of California at Santa Barbara2.140.1%1st Place
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4.24California State University Channel Islands2.770.1%1st Place
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3.9University of California at San Diego2.890.2%1st Place
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4.51University of Southern California2.640.1%1st Place
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4.81University of California at Santa Barbara2.490.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at San Diego1.810.1%1st Place
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7.82University of California at Irvine1.350.1%1st Place
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10.02University of California at San Diego0.490.0%1st Place
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7.0University of California at Irvine1.710.1%1st Place
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6.57University of California at Los Angeles1.830.1%1st Place
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9.12University of California at Los Angeles0.830.0%1st Place
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11.06Arizona State University0.040.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Southern California0.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Stokes | 8.8% | 7.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Gregory Dair | 14.5% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Morris | 18.3% | 18.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Hutcheson | 14.0% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cobi Allen | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicolas Delfino | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Weis | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 3.8% |
| Joseph McArdle | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 14.7% | 21.4% | 21.3% |
| Samuel Heller | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Emelia Pelliccio | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nora Brackbill | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 13.1% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 11.7% |
| Kyle McManus | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 17.9% | 44.1% |
| Olivia Gebelein | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.6% | 20.2% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.