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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+3.35vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine2.17+2.06vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego1.60+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego2.19-0.96vs Predicted
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6Arizona State University1.63-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+1.32vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.42+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of Southern California2.47-5.58vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.70vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-1.03vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.33-3.07vs Predicted
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14California State University Channel Islands0.37-5.42vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.86-3.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.35University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Irvine2.170.2%1st Place
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5.4University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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4.04University of California at San Diego2.190.2%1st Place
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5.18Arizona State University1.630.1%1st Place
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8.32University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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8.23University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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3.42University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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9.93University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.58California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginger Luckey | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 15.8% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 7.4% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Alamillo | 16.7% | 14.9% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Buccola | 10.3% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Ryder | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Brandon Yuen | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| John Coakley | 22.0% | 18.7% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% |
| Louise Lehman | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 19.3% | 19.5% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 20.6% | 16.9% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 9.6% | 5.8% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 43.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.