← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.69+5.50vs Predicted
-
2Bowdoin College1.84+4.22vs Predicted
-
3Boston College1.97+2.74vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.51+2.98vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University2.40-0.62vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island1.42+1.20vs Predicted
-
7Brown University2.73-3.29vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University0.45+2.02vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University0.80+0.08vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University2.10-4.78vs Predicted
-
11Boston University1.07-2.76vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.14-0.90vs Predicted
-
13University of Michigan-0.64-0.01vs Predicted
-
14University of New Hampshire-0.38-1.78vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont0.24-4.08vs Predicted
-
16University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.55-0.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.5Brown University1.697.5%1st Place
-
6.22Bowdoin College1.848.1%1st Place
-
5.74Boston College1.979.0%1st Place
-
6.98Tufts University1.516.9%1st Place
-
4.38Roger Williams University2.4015.8%1st Place
-
7.2University of Rhode Island1.425.8%1st Place
-
3.71Brown University2.7321.1%1st Place
-
10.02Northeastern University0.452.8%1st Place
-
9.08Tufts University0.803.2%1st Place
-
5.22Jacksonville University2.1010.5%1st Place
-
8.24Boston University1.074.5%1st Place
-
11.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.141.8%1st Place
-
12.99University of Michigan-0.640.8%1st Place
-
12.22University of New Hampshire-0.380.8%1st Place
-
10.92University of Vermont0.241.6%1st Place
-
15.47University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-2.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Joslin | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Morris | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 15.8% | 16.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 21.1% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Klusky | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Owen Bannasch | 10.5% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Bell | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Horne | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 16.6% | 15.9% | 12.4% | 1.6% |
| Katherine Simcoe | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 17.5% | 33.5% | 9.1% |
| Sean Lund | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 19.5% | 22.9% | 6.5% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 9.8% | 1.3% |
| Javi Muliro | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 9.0% | 80.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.