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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.29vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego2.19+1.09vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.60+0.41vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine2.17-1.93vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University1.63-1.74vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.40+0.23vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33+1.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.44-1.70vs Predicted
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12California State University Channel Islands0.37-3.55vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.42-4.85vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-3.93vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.86-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.29University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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4.09University of California at San Diego2.190.2%1st Place
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3.48University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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5.41University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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4.07University of California at Irvine2.170.2%1st Place
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5.26Arizona State University1.630.1%1st Place
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8.23University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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10.0University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.3University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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8.45California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.15University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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10.07University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ginger Luckey | 14.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 15.9% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 20.5% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 8.8% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Brian Hoover | 16.4% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Buccola | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Ryder | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Keefe | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 23.3% | 17.7% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 6.9% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 3.5% |
| Louise Lehman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 19.9% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.