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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Arizona State University0.44+6.13vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47-0.69vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.60+0.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.17-3.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.44+0.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.33+0.80vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego2.19-6.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.68-3.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-2.15vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands0.37-4.90vs Predicted
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14University of California at Irvine-0.86-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of Southern California0.42-6.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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5.18University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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3.81University of California at Irvine2.170.2%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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9.8University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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3.78University of California at San Diego2.190.2%1st Place
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7.51University of California at Santa Barbara0.680.0%1st Place
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9.85University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.1California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.26University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hodges | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Ginger Luckey | 14.5% | 14.3% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 22.7% | 21.1% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Olson | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brian Hoover | 19.0% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Monti | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.2% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 20.9% | 17.5% |
| Eric Alamillo | 18.9% | 14.7% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Schem | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Louise Lehman | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 18.8% | 42.6% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 8.6% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.