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📊 Prediction Accuracy
6.2%
Within 2 Positions
6.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.70+11.82vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.82+11.20vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.75+5.71vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University-0.58+8.59vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.17+2.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.51+3.38vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan-0.44+5.07vs Predicted
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8Boston University0.56+1.10vs Predicted
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9Brown University-0.04+2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.05-2.28vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.99-6.01vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College1.18-4.77vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University1.70-7.23vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.15-6.73vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.58-11.43vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.68-12.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.700.9%1st Place
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13.2University of New Hampshire-0.820.7%1st Place
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8.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.753.2%1st Place
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12.59Northeastern University-0.580.8%1st Place
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7.33University of Vermont1.174.0%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University0.512.2%1st Place
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12.07University of Michigan-0.440.9%1st Place
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9.1Boston University0.562.5%1st Place
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11.17Brown University-0.041.4%1st Place
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7.72University of Rhode Island1.054.0%1st Place
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4.99Brown University1.9910.9%1st Place
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7.23Bowdoin College1.185.5%1st Place
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5.77Jacksonville University1.708.5%1st Place
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7.27Tufts University1.155.8%1st Place
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3.57Boston College2.5821.4%1st Place
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3.09Roger Williams University2.6827.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Packard | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 18.4% | 25.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 18.6% | 28.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Wilkinson | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 18.9% |
| UVM Catamounts | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Annecy Kagan | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Glen Warren | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 14.7% |
| Gavin Monaghan | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Caroline Keeffe-Jones | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
| Olin Guck | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Katharine Doble | 10.9% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Igoe | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Peter Busch | 21.4% | 20.1% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 27.6% | 19.9% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.