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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Irvine2.17+1.87vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.13vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego2.19-0.17vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego1.60+0.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.33+3.72vs Predicted
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7Arizona State University0.44+1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.47-4.71vs Predicted
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9California State University Channel Islands0.37-0.73vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara0.68-3.46vs Predicted
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12University of California at Los Angeles0.44-3.93vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.42-5.08vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.86-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87University of California at Irvine2.170.2%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.2%1st Place
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3.83University of California at San Diego2.190.2%1st Place
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5.2University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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9.72University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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8.05Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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3.29University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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8.27California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Santa Barbara0.680.0%1st Place
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8.07University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
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7.92University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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9.98University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hoover | 16.3% | 17.2% | 14.9% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 15.3% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 16.9% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 17.4% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| John Olson | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Keefe | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 21.6% | 15.7% |
| Austin Hodges | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| John Coakley | 22.9% | 20.1% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 4.4% |
| Jessica Schem | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Gabriel Monti | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 3.9% |
| Louise Lehman | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 19.5% | 20.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 17.2% | 43.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.