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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of California at Irvine2.17+1.84vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+1.12vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.47-0.72vs Predicted
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5Arizona State University0.44+3.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego1.60-0.96vs Predicted
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8California State University Channel Islands0.37+0.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-1.00vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-0.33-0.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.86-0.06vs Predicted
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12University of California at San Diego2.19-8.17vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California0.42-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-4.06vs Predicted
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15University of California at Los Angeles0.44-6.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.84University of California at Irvine2.170.2%1st Place
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4.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
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8.01Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
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5.04University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
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8.15California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
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8.0University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
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9.82University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
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10.94University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
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3.83University of California at San Diego2.190.2%1st Place
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7.87University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
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9.94University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
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8.16University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Hoover | 17.1% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 15.3% | 12.7% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ginger Luckey | 14.1% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 22.6% | 20.4% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 3.9% |
| John Olson | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 13.1% | 14.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Lucas Ryder | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 14.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 20.8% | 17.1% |
| Bridget Steiner | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 18.8% | 41.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 18.7% | 15.6% | 18.3% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.7% |
| Louise Lehman | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 20.7% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.