← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at San Diego1.60+4.12vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara2.05+2.11vs Predicted
-
4University of California at San Diego2.19-0.20vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California2.47-1.76vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine2.17-3.20vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Los Angeles0.44-0.05vs Predicted
-
9Arizona State University0.44-1.12vs Predicted
-
10California State University Channel Islands0.37-1.91vs Predicted
-
11University of California at San Diego-0.33-1.13vs Predicted
-
12University of Southern California0.42-3.96vs Predicted
-
13University of California at Irvine-0.86-2.15vs Predicted
-
14University of California at Santa Barbara0.40-5.72vs Predicted
-
15University of California at Los Angeles-0.30-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.12University of California at San Diego1.600.1%1st Place
-
4.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.050.1%1st Place
-
3.8University of California at San Diego2.190.2%1st Place
-
3.24University of Southern California2.470.2%1st Place
-
3.8University of California at Irvine2.170.2%1st Place
-
7.95University of California at Los Angeles0.440.0%1st Place
-
7.88Arizona State University0.440.0%1st Place
-
8.09California State University Channel Islands0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.87University of California at San Diego-0.330.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of Southern California0.420.0%1st Place
-
10.85University of California at Irvine-0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.28University of California at Santa Barbara0.400.0%1st Place
-
9.96University of California at Los Angeles-0.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Olson | 9.7% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ginger Luckey | 13.9% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Alamillo | 17.6% | 16.8% | 15.5% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 10.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Coakley | 23.8% | 19.7% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Hoover | 18.0% | 16.1% | 15.0% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Gabriel Monti | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 4.0% |
| Austin Hodges | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 4.1% |
| Jeffrey Tedmori | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Keefe | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 19.0% | 20.0% |
| Brandon Yuen | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Bridget Steiner | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 35.7% |
| Lucas Ryder | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.4% |
| Louise Lehman | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 14.8% | 18.8% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.