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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.64+7.16vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+2.54vs Predicted
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5University of Victoria0.40+3.67vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.49+0.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara1.58-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon2.51-5.25vs Predicted
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10University of Puget Sound0.55-1.95vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University1.94-6.14vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.88-6.86vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Washington2.87-11.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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8.67University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
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6.26Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.8University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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3.75University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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8.05University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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4.86Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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5.14Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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2.9University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Du | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 21.1% | 20.3% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Meigan Blunt | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 17.7% | 34.7% |
| Andrew Nelson | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Shea Artis | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 3.2% |
| Philip Gordon | 18.4% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| John Elam | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 18.9% | 22.4% |
| Joseph Teno | 10.8% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Connor Bescos | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.2% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 27.7% | 24.1% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.