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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.25+2.95vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.15vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.48+1.27vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.24vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.31vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-2.71vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.02-2.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.95U. S. Naval Academy1.2513.1%1st Place
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2.8Georgetown University2.2027.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Pennsylvania2.1626.5%1st Place
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5.27University of Vermont0.487.0%1st Place
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5.24St. Mary's College of Maryland0.676.0%1st Place
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5.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.5%1st Place
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4.29St. Mary's College of Maryland1.1611.3%1st Place
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5.91SUNY Maritime College-0.024.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Hugh Carty | 13.1% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 8.1% | 3.9% |
Diego Escobar | 27.1% | 22.2% | 20.3% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Jackson McAliley | 26.5% | 23.9% | 18.5% | 13.2% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
Audrey Commerford | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 20.4% | 24.5% |
Henry Haddon | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 4.8% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.