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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.87+2.04vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.69+3.55vs Predicted
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3Northwestern University1.94+2.16vs Predicted
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4University of Puget Sound0.55+4.42vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon2.51-1.30vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.88-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.64+0.87vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.58-2.29vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.49-2.88vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-4.11vs Predicted
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15University of Victoria0.40-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Washington2.870.2%1st Place
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5.55University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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5.16Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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8.42University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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3.7University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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5.16Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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7.87University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
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5.71University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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6.12Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.1%1st Place
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8.39University of Victoria0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glen Stellmacher | 24.5% | 22.6% | 17.6% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Teno | 10.1% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| John Elam | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 28.8% |
| Philip Gordon | 19.6% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 9.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Eric Du | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 18.4% | 20.2% |
| Shea Artis | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 2.5% |
| Andrew Nelson | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Connor Bescos | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% |
| Meigan Blunt | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 21.3% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.