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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.29vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.96vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+1.74vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont1.05-0.43vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.25-1.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-1.24vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.29Georgetown University2.4038.0%1st Place
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2.96University of Pennsylvania2.1622.6%1st Place
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4.74St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.4%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.7%1st Place
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4.57University of Vermont1.057.6%1st Place
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4.19U. S. Naval Academy1.259.8%1st Place
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5.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.294.4%1st Place
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6.06SUNY Maritime College-0.023.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mateo Di Blasi | 38.0% | 25.6% | 17.9% | 10.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Jackson McAliley | 22.6% | 22.9% | 20.8% | 15.6% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
Mats Braaten | 8.4% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 14.6% | 17.3% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 9.0% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 5.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
Calvin Lamosse | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 16.2% | 13.0% | 6.8% |
Hugh Carty | 9.8% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 17.2% | 16.2% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 4.6% |
Annika VanderHorst | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 16.4% | 19.6% | 25.8% |
Jeremy Lunati | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 15.2% | 19.5% | 33.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.