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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont1.05+3.62vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.16+0.93vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40-0.69vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04+0.80vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.25-0.84vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29-0.23vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College-0.02-1.02vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62University of Vermont1.059.2%1st Place
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2.93University of Pennsylvania2.1622.7%1st Place
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2.31Georgetown University2.4035.1%1st Place
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4.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.047.2%1st Place
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4.16U. S. Naval Academy1.2511.3%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.295.1%1st Place
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5.98SUNY Maritime College-0.023.6%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.675.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin Lamosse | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 8.2% |
| Jackson McAliley | 22.7% | 23.4% | 21.0% | 14.9% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 35.1% | 27.3% | 19.3% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Mats Braaten | 7.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 16.3% | 16.7% | 15.1% | 9.3% |
| Hugh Carty | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 16.9% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 4.2% |
| Annika VanderHorst | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 27.7% |
| Jeremy Lunati | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 30.6% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.