Race 1A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 61.4% 25.7% 9.7% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercy Tangredi 6.9% 12.5% 15.8% 16.4% 15.6% 12.7% 11.2% 5.9% 3.1%
Marianna Shand 8.0% 20.6% 20.8% 18.0% 12.8% 10.2% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
Molly Coghlin 7.6% 11.1% 13.9% 15.4% 15.2% 12.4% 11.7% 8.3% 4.3%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.2% 6.5% 10.7% 10.7% 14.6% 15.2% 13.7% 14.1% 10.4%
Erin Pamplin 4.5% 8.6% 10.0% 11.8% 13.5% 14.4% 14.9% 13.3% 9.1%
Morgan Burton 2.0% 4.0% 5.2% 7.0% 7.5% 10.0% 13.2% 18.2% 32.9%
Kira Blumhagen 3.4% 6.2% 8.0% 9.8% 11.0% 14.1% 15.0% 17.5% 15.0%
Florence Duff 2.1% 5.0% 6.2% 8.3% 9.2% 10.8% 14.4% 19.9% 24.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.