Race 1A

nelson-rolsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 34.1% 23.6% 18.2% 10.8% 7.7% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Oswalt 18.6% 20.8% 16.3% 16.5% 12.0% 9.6% 5.1% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Zampa 4.0% 3.6% 5.8% 6.5% 9.2% 11.0% 19.6% 40.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 8.5% 10.3% 11.9% 12.0% 15.9% 17.9% 15.6% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Condit 7.0% 8.7% 11.5% 13.9% 14.1% 15.8% 17.8% 11.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 8.5% 10.3% 11.9% 12.0% 15.9% 17.9% 15.6% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 15.7% 16.4% 17.6% 16.9% 14.6% 9.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 15.7% 16.4% 17.6% 16.9% 14.6% 9.7% 6.7% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schwend 4.3% 5.4% 6.4% 8.3% 10.3% 15.8% 20.6% 28.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Brett Merrill 7.8% 11.2% 12.3% 15.1% 16.2% 16.2% 13.3% 7.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.