Race 2A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 62.3% 24.9% 8.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.3% 7.8% 10.5% 12.0% 14.1% 14.3% 14.8% 12.3% 9.7%
Mercy Tangredi 6.7% 12.3% 14.5% 16.7% 15.0% 14.3% 10.2% 6.4% 3.9%
Marianna Shand 10.5% 18.5% 18.9% 17.8% 14.0% 9.8% 5.7% 3.9% 0.9%
Morgan Burton 1.8% 4.2% 6.0% 7.2% 7.8% 9.2% 11.7% 18.1% 33.9%
Molly Coghlin 5.5% 11.3% 15.8% 14.8% 14.0% 13.7% 13.1% 7.3% 4.4%
Kira Blumhagen 3.1% 6.3% 7.7% 9.0% 11.8% 12.4% 14.5% 18.2% 16.9%
Erin Pamplin 3.5% 8.6% 10.8% 11.8% 13.3% 13.7% 14.4% 14.7% 9.2%
Florence Duff 2.1% 6.1% 6.9% 7.7% 9.1% 12.4% 15.4% 19.1% 21.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.