Race 3A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 62.8% 24.4% 8.8% 2.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 5.9% 11.0% 14.2% 15.0% 15.1% 14.9% 12.3% 7.9% 3.6%
Marianna Shand 8.3% 18.2% 19.9% 19.5% 13.4% 10.0% 7.3% 2.6% 0.8%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.5% 7.8% 11.1% 11.8% 13.9% 14.0% 13.2% 14.1% 9.7%
Kira Blumhagen 3.1% 6.8% 8.4% 9.1% 10.1% 12.8% 15.7% 18.5% 15.6%
Erin Pamplin 3.6% 7.3% 12.4% 12.5% 13.0% 13.5% 15.0% 12.4% 10.2%
Mercy Tangredi 7.4% 14.4% 14.2% 14.5% 15.8% 13.0% 10.3% 7.3% 3.1%
Florence Duff 2.8% 5.9% 6.6% 8.3% 10.0% 11.6% 13.0% 19.1% 22.8%
Morgan Burton 1.4% 4.2% 4.3% 6.5% 8.1% 10.2% 13.1% 17.9% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.