Race 2A

nelson-rolsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Brett Merrill 8.4% 11.0% 11.4% 15.9% 15.7% 14.9% 14.4% 8.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Oswalt 18.4% 20.0% 18.1% 16.0% 13.2% 8.0% 4.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 33.5% 25.0% 17.9% 12.0% 6.6% 3.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 16.1% 16.7% 17.4% 15.0% 14.3% 11.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 7.3% 10.2% 12.5% 14.8% 13.5% 17.4% 15.3% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Zampa 3.4% 3.7% 4.3% 6.4% 9.6% 14.0% 18.3% 40.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Condit 7.6% 8.3% 11.8% 10.9% 15.3% 15.5% 17.0% 13.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 7.3% 10.2% 12.5% 14.8% 13.5% 17.4% 15.3% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 16.1% 16.7% 17.4% 15.0% 14.3% 11.3% 6.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schwend 5.3% 5.1% 6.6% 9.0% 11.8% 15.7% 22.4% 24.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.