Race 4A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 60.7% 25.8% 10.4% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Molly Coghlin 5.9% 11.2% 14.5% 16.7% 13.7% 14.1% 11.3% 8.7% 4.0%
Marianna Shand 9.8% 17.9% 19.6% 15.8% 13.7% 11.0% 7.0% 3.9% 1.1%
Mercy Tangredi 6.7% 14.2% 15.7% 15.3% 15.9% 11.1% 10.4% 6.9% 3.8%
Erin Pamplin 4.5% 8.6% 10.7% 11.8% 13.0% 13.9% 14.1% 13.5% 10.2%
Morgan Burton 2.6% 3.4% 4.8% 8.1% 8.2% 9.6% 11.9% 17.1% 34.3%
Kira Blumhagen 2.5% 6.2% 8.1% 10.9% 11.6% 12.5% 15.4% 16.9% 15.9%
Florence Duff 3.0% 5.7% 5.8% 7.0% 10.1% 13.5% 14.0% 19.0% 22.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.3% 7.1% 10.4% 11.8% 13.5% 14.3% 15.8% 14.1% 8.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.