Race 3A

nelson-rolsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Reddaway 35.3% 25.8% 17.8% 10.3% 6.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Oswalt 19.4% 21.5% 17.6% 15.8% 11.7% 9.1% 4.0% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Brett Merrill 9.0% 11.7% 11.3% 14.0% 15.1% 15.6% 14.7% 8.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis James 10.6% 14.2% 13.4% 15.8% 15.6% 13.8% 11.0% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis James 10.6% 14.2% 13.4% 15.8% 15.6% 13.8% 11.0% 5.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 9.2% 8.6% 15.3% 14.3% 14.3% 16.1% 14.2% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Condit 8.6% 7.9% 13.5% 13.0% 15.0% 15.8% 14.3% 11.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Zampa 4.0% 4.1% 4.1% 7.4% 7.6% 11.8% 18.9% 42.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryan Schwend 3.9% 6.2% 7.0% 9.4% 14.1% 15.4% 21.3% 22.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 9.2% 8.6% 15.3% 14.3% 14.3% 16.1% 14.2% 8.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.