Race 5A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 61.1% 24.9% 9.7% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.2% 9.3% 10.0% 11.3% 14.2% 14.6% 14.6% 12.8% 8.9%
Mercy Tangredi 7.7% 12.3% 16.2% 15.8% 14.1% 12.8% 10.5% 7.8% 2.8%
Morgan Burton 2.1% 4.7% 5.8% 6.8% 7.7% 9.1% 12.4% 18.4% 33.1%
Florence Duff 2.5% 4.0% 6.1% 8.2% 10.2% 12.1% 15.2% 19.7% 22.1%
Kira Blumhagen 2.5% 5.9% 8.0% 10.5% 10.6% 12.8% 13.7% 17.2% 18.9%
Erin Pamplin 4.5% 8.5% 11.2% 11.2% 12.3% 14.8% 15.0% 13.6% 8.8%
Marianna Shand 10.0% 18.8% 19.2% 17.8% 14.6% 9.8% 6.0% 2.8% 0.9%
Molly Coghlin 5.5% 11.7% 13.8% 14.9% 15.5% 13.8% 12.4% 7.8% 4.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.