Race 6A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 59.2% 26.5% 9.9% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Kingsley Ehrich 3.8% 8.6% 10.8% 12.8% 13.5% 13.3% 14.3% 13.5% 9.4%
Mercy Tangredi 6.9% 11.2% 15.0% 16.4% 15.7% 13.8% 10.5% 7.1% 3.4%
Marianna Shand 10.8% 18.8% 18.6% 17.3% 12.7% 10.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.2%
Molly Coghlin 6.3% 12.8% 14.4% 14.9% 14.8% 13.2% 11.2% 8.2% 4.2%
Florence Duff 2.7% 4.5% 7.4% 7.6% 10.7% 11.8% 14.4% 18.1% 22.8%
Morgan Burton 2.5% 3.3% 4.9% 5.9% 7.4% 9.4% 13.1% 20.0% 33.6%
Erin Pamplin 4.8% 8.6% 10.8% 12.2% 13.0% 14.6% 14.1% 13.1% 8.9%
Kira Blumhagen 3.1% 5.8% 8.3% 9.6% 11.5% 13.5% 15.2% 16.7% 16.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.