Race 5A

nelson-rolsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jessica Oswalt 21.5% 20.4% 19.1% 16.2% 11.9% 7.7% 2.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 32.6% 24.2% 20.7% 11.8% 7.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 9.0% 11.1% 13.3% 14.2% 18.5% 18.7% 12.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 9.0% 11.1% 13.3% 14.2% 18.5% 18.7% 12.4% 2.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 15.7% 19.1% 17.6% 16.8% 15.4% 9.7% 5.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Condit 7.7% 8.4% 12.1% 15.4% 17.3% 21.0% 16.0% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brett Merrill 9.4% 10.9% 12.7% 16.6% 16.4% 18.8% 12.8% 2.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 15.7% 19.1% 17.6% 16.8% 15.4% 9.7% 5.0% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Zampa 3.4% 4.7% 3.9% 7.0% 9.6% 18.3% 38.5% 14.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Eileen Blute 0.7% 1.2% 0.6% 2.0% 3.6% 3.3% 11.6% 77.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.