Race 7A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 61.8% 24.9% 9.2% 3.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercy Tangredi 7.2% 12.4% 14.8% 16.4% 15.0% 13.2% 10.5% 6.9% 3.7%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.3% 8.6% 11.3% 12.0% 11.8% 13.9% 13.4% 14.3% 10.4%
Molly Coghlin 6.2% 12.2% 13.2% 17.1% 14.5% 13.4% 11.9% 8.2% 3.5%
Erin Pamplin 4.2% 8.2% 10.4% 12.2% 14.4% 14.5% 14.1% 12.0% 10.1%
Morgan Burton 1.7% 4.3% 5.5% 4.9% 8.2% 9.8% 12.7% 18.8% 34.3%
Florence Duff 3.2% 5.7% 7.3% 7.3% 9.1% 11.9% 15.3% 18.6% 21.5%
Kira Blumhagen 2.6% 6.3% 8.8% 9.6% 12.3% 13.3% 13.9% 17.5% 15.6%
Marianna Shand 8.8% 17.6% 19.6% 17.2% 14.1% 10.0% 8.2% 3.6% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.