Race 6A

nelson-rolsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Kevin Condit 7.8% 11.5% 10.9% 14.3% 18.6% 19.4% 14.6% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Oswalt 19.7% 19.4% 19.5% 18.7% 12.2% 7.7% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brett Merrill 9.7% 10.5% 11.6% 14.0% 19.0% 19.9% 12.2% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Reddaway 33.7% 25.1% 17.9% 12.6% 6.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 16.2% 17.4% 19.7% 16.0% 14.2% 12.4% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Travis Conger 16.2% 17.4% 19.7% 16.0% 14.2% 12.4% 3.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 8.5% 11.1% 14.3% 15.5% 17.3% 17.7% 13.5% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Woodring 8.5% 11.1% 14.3% 15.5% 17.3% 17.7% 13.5% 2.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Zampa 3.7% 3.8% 4.9% 7.7% 9.2% 15.8% 40.4% 14.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Eileen Blute 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 2.8% 4.3% 11.9% 76.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.