Race 8A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 61.3% 25.8% 8.8% 3.0% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Erin Pamplin 4.2% 7.3% 10.9% 12.2% 13.3% 15.0% 14.9% 13.7% 8.5%
Mercy Tangredi 7.3% 11.7% 15.2% 17.2% 16.2% 13.4% 10.0% 6.7% 2.4%
Morgan Burton 1.9% 3.6% 4.3% 5.5% 8.1% 10.1% 12.3% 18.0% 36.1%
Kingsley Ehrich 3.8% 9.1% 11.5% 12.9% 12.0% 14.3% 13.7% 13.2% 9.4%
Kira Blumhagen 2.9% 6.6% 8.5% 8.6% 9.5% 12.9% 16.4% 17.1% 17.4%
Molly Coghlin 6.9% 12.8% 14.2% 14.5% 14.4% 14.1% 11.2% 8.1% 3.9%
Florence Duff 1.7% 5.0% 6.7% 7.6% 11.6% 10.7% 15.6% 20.0% 21.3%
Marianna Shand 10.1% 18.2% 20.0% 18.4% 14.1% 9.2% 5.9% 3.3% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.