Race 9A

pccsc-fall-women-fleet-race-day

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Vanessa Lahrkamp 62.0% 24.7% 9.0% 3.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Mercy Tangredi 6.6% 12.7% 15.1% 15.7% 14.2% 13.9% 10.7% 8.0% 3.2%
Molly Coghlin 6.2% 12.2% 13.2% 15.4% 16.3% 12.6% 12.2% 8.6% 3.1%
Erin Pamplin 4.4% 10.1% 10.4% 12.6% 13.1% 14.5% 14.0% 12.5% 8.3%
Florence Duff 2.1% 5.3% 6.7% 7.7% 10.8% 12.4% 14.1% 18.1% 22.7%
Marianna Shand 8.9% 17.8% 22.0% 17.2% 12.7% 10.2% 6.9% 3.0% 1.1%
Kingsley Ehrich 4.2% 7.8% 10.8% 12.1% 12.2% 14.0% 14.7% 14.2% 10.1%
Kira Blumhagen 3.2% 6.0% 8.0% 10.0% 11.3% 12.2% 14.8% 18.4% 16.2%
Morgan Burton 2.4% 3.3% 4.7% 5.9% 8.9% 10.0% 12.6% 17.1% 35.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.