Race 3B

nelson-rolsch

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Colin Feik 57.2% 28.3% 10.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Feik 57.2% 28.3% 10.1% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Roehmholdt 7.5% 11.8% 20.3% 18.5% 18.7% 13.4% 7.2% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Swanson 17.9% 28.7% 23.5% 16.6% 9.1% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Abhay Baliga 4.0% 7.7% 11.8% 15.4% 17.6% 17.9% 16.4% 9.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Casey Crossland 2.3% 3.4% 6.2% 8.4% 12.7% 18.6% 24.3% 24.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Fontaine 7.2% 11.1% 17.9% 20.9% 18.2% 13.1% 8.0% 3.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Biancardi 3.2% 5.6% 6.8% 10.9% 15.3% 19.5% 21.1% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Biancardi 3.2% 5.6% 6.8% 10.9% 15.3% 19.5% 21.1% 17.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Logan Little 0.7% 3.4% 3.4% 5.8% 7.6% 14.4% 22.0% 42.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.