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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Jacksonville University-1.38+5.75vs Predicted
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2Embry-Riddle University0.55+8.85vs Predicted
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3University of Miami2.32+1.60vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.78+1.68vs Predicted
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5Florida Institute of Technology0.73+4.22vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.54+1.17vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.41+3.54vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston2.38-3.57vs Predicted
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9Florida State University1.95-2.63vs Predicted
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10University of North Carolina-0.24+3.18vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.19-3.32vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.73-2.11vs Predicted
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13The Citadel1.22-3.29vs Predicted
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14University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.19-0.53vs Predicted
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15Auburn University-1.16+0.66vs Predicted
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16Duke University0.06-4.33vs Predicted
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17Florida International University0.52-6.42vs Predicted
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18Georgia Institute of Technology-0.34-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.75Jacksonville University-1.388.5%1st Place
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10.85Embry-Riddle University0.552.7%1st Place
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4.6University of Miami2.3216.4%1st Place
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5.68North Carolina State University1.7810.3%1st Place
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9.22Florida Institute of Technology0.733.9%1st Place
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7.17University of South Florida1.547.6%1st Place
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10.54Rollins College0.413.2%1st Place
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4.43College of Charleston2.3815.3%1st Place
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6.37Florida State University1.958.6%1st Place
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13.18University of North Carolina-0.241.5%1st Place
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7.68University of South Florida1.196.2%1st Place
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9.89Clemson University0.734.2%1st Place
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9.71The Citadel1.223.5%1st Place
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13.47University of North Carolina at Wilmington-0.191.2%1st Place
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15.66Auburn University-1.160.3%1st Place
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11.67Duke University0.062.1%1st Place
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10.58Florida International University0.523.3%1st Place
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13.53Georgia Institute of Technology-0.341.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Allen | 8.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Hardt | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Atlee Kohl | 16.4% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larson | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Smucker | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Eden Nykamp | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Hilton Kamps | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Dufour | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis "Mac" Humphrey | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 10.7% |
| Humberto Porrata | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nilah Miller | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Gregory Walters | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Phoebe Whitbeck | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 12.6% |
| Joaquin Marquez | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 16.1% | 46.8% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Hudson Jenkins | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Christopher Lucyk | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.