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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+1.28vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.77vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont1.05+1.61vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.16-0.96vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.02+1.06vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy1.25-1.80vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.04-2.30vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67-2.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.28Georgetown University2.4037.4%1st Place
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5.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.293.8%1st Place
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4.61University of Vermont1.058.8%1st Place
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3.04University of Pennsylvania2.1622.4%1st Place
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6.06SUNY Maritime College-0.024.3%1st Place
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4.2U. S. Naval Academy1.2510.7%1st Place
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4.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.048.2%1st Place
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5.34St. Mary's College of Maryland0.674.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
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Mateo Di Blasi | 37.4% | 27.5% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 5.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Annika VanderHorst | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 18.9% | 26.2% |
Calvin Lamosse | 8.8% | 8.9% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 6.9% |
Jackson McAliley | 22.4% | 21.4% | 20.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Jeremy Lunati | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 19.8% | 34.8% |
Hugh Carty | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 4.9% |
Mats Braaten | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 9.2% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 4.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 17.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.