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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.49+4.77vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.58+3.61vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University1.88+2.01vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon2.51-0.45vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.94-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz1.10+0.61vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound0.55+0.85vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.64-2.46vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.69-8.64vs Predicted
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15University of Washington2.87-12.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77Western Washington University1.490.1%1st Place
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5.61University of California at Santa Barbara1.580.1%1st Place
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5.01Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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3.55University of Oregon2.510.2%1st Place
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4.74Northwestern University1.940.1%1st Place
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6.61University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.1%1st Place
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7.85University of Puget Sound0.550.0%1st Place
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7.54University of California at Los Angeles0.640.0%1st Place
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5.36University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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2.95University of Washington2.870.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nelson | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 7.4% |
| Shea Artis | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 5.2% |
| Erika Vranizan | 9.5% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% |
| Philip Gordon | 18.6% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Teno | 11.8% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Connor Bescos | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 15.2% |
| John Elam | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 33.6% |
| Eric Du | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 21.4% | 28.8% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Glen Stellmacher | 26.8% | 24.3% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.